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Risk in relation to project work has two components:
The first is uncertainty and the second is exposure. If both
are not present, there is no risk to the outcome of a project.
If both are not present there would be little call for project
and construction management skills that determine the successful
outcome of any project venture. After all, if we were all omniscient,
there would be little or no risk to the project outcome. However
because knowledge is a personal experience, risk is necessarily
subjective.
The most basic definition of risk is ‘an undesirable implication of uncertainty’. ‘Risk’ is
sometimes a convenient short form for ‘source of risk’, and sometimes
for ‘the probability of realizing a source of risk’.
The role of MDF Group in contracting project work is to minimize
the risk of any undesirable consequence of an undertaking or venture.
Projects in the construction and engineering fields necessarily
deal with large amounts of money. With this in mind the mitigation
of financial risk is a critical part of MDF Group’s service
to our clients.
For companies risk management—or financial risk management
can be defined as practices by which a firm optimizes the manner
in which it takes on some kind of financial risk.
Risk management is about rocking the boat, asking questions and
challenging the establishment. No one can manage risk if they are
not prepared to take risk.
‘ Risk’ in its basic sense need not be measured. In general, measures
of risk should be seen as surrogates unless special restrictive assumptions or
conditions hold. It is for this reason that risk mitigation be a cooperative
undertaking. Cooperation is required between the contractor and client, whether
the contract be an adversarial type contract or fee based. The importance of
a structured and formal approach to risk and its mitigation is the same. Participatory
and structured planning is the method used by MDF Group to formally reduce project
risk for all stakeholders. Within the structured participatory model the emphasis
is on group problem solving, with individuals within the group drawing on each
other for complimentary resources. The group exploits these resources to solve
problems and/or to mitigate risk.
A numerical ‘solution’ to a ‘problem’ is
not the most important part of risk analysis, in fact in regard
to safety a numerical solution may be inappropriate and elimination
may be essential. Instead, a major purpose of the participatory
management approach is to provide a framework within which to approach
a specific situation, a structure which will allow a variety of
people with diverse backgrounds to communicate and gain insight.
Particular models for mitigating risk should not be viewed as ends,
but rather a means to a wide variety of ends and of these ends, ‘insight’ is
often the most important outcome.
Risk engineering is an integrated approach to all aspects of risk
analysis. Its aim is to identify and measure uncertainty as appropriate
and to develop the insight necessary to change associated risks
through effective and efficient decisions. This is as true for
financial risk as it is for project risks.
It is the reduction in project risk exposure which provides corporate
management with the bottom-line justification for undertaking risk
analysis studies. The direct benefit of quantitative risk analysis
includes a clear view of the uncertainty in the key measures of
a project’s performance, which form a sound basis for setting
targets and contingencies or accepting commitments.
Risk is a personal experience, not only because it is subjective,
but because it is individuals who suffer the consequences of risk.
Although we may speak of companies taking risk, in actuality, companies
are merely conduits for risk. Ultimately, all risks which flow
through an organization accrue to individuals, shareholders, creditors,
employees, subcontractors, customers, board members, etc. While
individual initiative is critical, it is corporate culture which
facilitates the process. Corporate culture defines what behavior
the members of an organization will condone—and what behavior
they will shun. Corporate culture plays a critical role in risk
management because it defines the risks which an individual must
personally take if they are going to help manage organizational
risks.
2002.
Lectric Law Library
(Aug 2004)
Monroe, Allen. 1998. Evolving
Role of the Chief Risk Officer
(Aug 2004)
2004. The Institute of the
Chief Risk Officers
(Aug 2004)
1997.
The Commission's Risk Management Framework
(Aug 2004)
Risk Analysis for Large Projects
Models, Methods and Cases
Dale F. Cooper and C.B. Chapman
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